August 27, 2010 - From Rasmussen Reports:
Voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats on all 10 of the important issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports.
The GOP has consistently been trusted on most issues for months now, but in July they held the lead on only nine of the key issues.
Republicans lead Democrats 47% to 39% on the economy, which remains the most important issue to voters. Those numbers are nearly identical to those found in June. Republicans have held the advantage on the economy since May of last year.
But for the first time in months, Republicans now hold a slight edge on the issues of government ethics and corruption, 40% to 38%. Voters have been mostly undecided for the past several months on which party to trust more on this issue, but Democrats have held small leads since February. Still, more than one-in-five voters (22%) are still not sure which party to trust more on ethics issues.
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August 27, 2010,
THE NEW YORK REPUBLICAN STATE COMMITTEE EDWARD F. COX CHAIRMAN
August 27, 2010
Dear Republican Leader:
With yet another disastrous budget by Albany Democrats, now more than ever we must stand together and support Rick Lazio in his campaign to be the next governor of New York State.
After an extensive grassroots screening process, Rick Lazio was the sole candidate chosen by your wide-open Republican State Convention to run for governor on the Republican line.
Rick is a credible and experienced candidate. He is a strong advocate for our Republican values and has the ability and experience to run an effective state-wide campaign and to govern New York in accordance with those values.
New York is being crushed by the taxing, spending and borrowing of the Democrats who control all of Albany. Their corruption, dysfunction and mismanagement have discouraged investment and driven businesses and jobs from our borders. That is why we must unite to defeat Andrew Cuomo who has been a part of New York’s Democratic establishment for more than thirty years.
A recent Associated Press article’s headline, "Lazio Rising," says it all about Rick’s ability to lead our ticket. In just the past several weeks, Rick’s campaign has girded itself for the general election with new staff and renewed intensity. His fundraising is up, and he is on the airwaves across the state. Rick’s leadership focused national attention on Andrew Cuomo’s failure to investigate funding for the Mosque at Ground Zero, and last Sunday he effectively addressed the issue on NBC’s Meet the Press. Rick is a credible candidate who can lead our ticket to the most significant and important Republican victories in New York since 1994.
This Election Day presents great opportunities for our party. New Yorkers of all political stripes are looking to our fiscally conservative principles to lift the burden on our forgotten taxpayers and the State’s economy and end our fiscal crisis. We can win state-wide offices, take back the Senate majority, make substantial Assembly gains and contribute more to winning the U.S. House of Representatives than any other state in the union.
To do this we must come together to fight against the corruption, dysfunction and failed policies of the Democrats in Albany. We are on our way to great victories in November, but uniting behind our designated candidate at the top of the ticket is essential to that success.
Edward F. Cox Chairman, New York Republican State Committee
August 21, 2010, From Rochester Democrat and Chronicle:
Voters in the northeast suburbs might experience a real race for Congress.
Republican Ann Marie Buerkle has had some unexpected boosts in her race to replace Rep. Dan Maffei, a freshman Democrat.
An endorsement from Sarah Palin could draw new contributions — she desperately needs some if she's going to get her message out — and an extra place on the ballot, courtesy of an endorsement from the Independence Party, could help attract votes.
Competitive races in New York can be hard to come by as the state Legislature has drawn congressional districts for the maximum political benefit of one party.
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August 20, 2010 - From The RNC:
"The Obama Economic Recovery Continues To Lumber Forward With All The Momentum Of A Blind, Three-Legged Elephant." (Editorial, "The Obama Recovery," Las Vegas Review-Journal, 8/8/10)
DISMAL STATE JOBS REPORT HIGHLIGHTS DREADFUL EMPLOYMENT SITUATION
"It Was 'Dumb' For President Obama And His Aides To Promise That Unemployment Would Not Surpass Eight Percent If The Stimulus Act Passed, [Rep. Barney Frank] Said Tuesday. . . 'That Was A Dumb Thing To Do.'" (Michael O'Brien, "Frank: Obama Admin 'Dumb' To Predict No Higher Than 8% Unemployment," The Hill, 8/19/10)
BLS Reported Today That 14 States Saw Rate Increases In July, And 18 States Had No Change. (Bureau Of Labor Statistics, "Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary," Press Release, 8/20/10)
- The Unemployment Rate In Several States Has Remained Painfully High. "Nevada again reported the highest unemployment rate among the states, 14.3 percent in July. The rate in Nevada also set a new series high. (All region, division, and state series begin in 1976.) The states with the next highest rates were Michigan, 13.1 percent, and California, 12.3 percent." (Bureau Of Labor Statistics, "Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary," Press Release, 8/20/10)
According To BLS, 13 States Lost Jobs In July. (Bureau Of Labor Statistics, "Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary," Press Release, 8/20/10)
ECONOMISTS NOW WARNING THAT ECONOMY WILL CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE
CBO Projects Sluggish Growth Through 2011. "All of those forces, along with the waning of federal fiscal support, will tend to restrain spending by individuals and businesses--and, therefore, economic growth--during the recovery. CBO projects that the economy will grow by only 2.0 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010 to the fourth quarter of 2011; even with faster growth in subsequent years, the unemployment rate will not fall to around 5 percent until the end of 2014." ("The Budget And Economic Outlook: Update," Congressional Budget Office, 8/19/10)
"Not Since The Government Began To Measure The Ups And Downs Of The Business Cycle Has Such A Deep Recession Been Followed By Such Anemic Job Growth." "Jobs came back at a faster pace even in March 1933 after the economy started to "recover" from the depths of the Great Depression. Of course, that job growth didn't last long. That recovery wasn't really a recovery at all. The Great Depression continued. And that's exactly my point. The Great Recession continues." (Robert Reich, "Forget a Double-Dip, We're Still in One Long Big Dipper," The Huffington Post, 8/14/10)
David Rosenberg, Chief Economist At Gluskin, Sheff & Associates, Believes That There Is A "Significant Chance" The Economy Could Begin Retracting By The End Of The Year. "I don't see what the underpinnings are for the economy are. When I take right now a look at the numbers, we're looking at third quarter growth close to zero. It looks like second quarter is going to get revised from 2.4 down to as low as one or 1.5. I'm thinking flat for the third quarter -- I mean there's no growth in consumer spending and that's 70 percent of GDP ... This will be the big surprise: I think there is a significant chance in the fourth quarter that the economy could be contracting again." (The Wall Street Journal, "The Big Interview," 8/13/10)
- "I'd Say That If You Don't Believe There Is Going To Be A Double Dip Maybe That's Because The First Recession Never Ended. . . If There Is Gonna Be A Double-Dip The Odds Are Actually Very High." (The Wall Street Journal, "The Big Interview," 8/13/10)
AND THE PUBLIC HAS LOST FAITH IN OBAMA AND HIS POLICIES
AP-Gfk Poll: President Obama's Approval Rating On Economy Have Sunk To New Lows. "President Barack Obama earned his lowest marks ever on his handling of the economy in a new Associated Press-GfK poll, which also found that an overwhelming majority of Americans now describe the nation's financial outlook as poor. A frustrated electorate could take it out on the party in power -- Obama's Democrats -- in the November elections." (Liz Sidoti, "Poll: Obama Gets Lowest Grade So Far On Economy," The Associated Press, 8/18/10
56 Percent Of Voters Disapprove Of President Obama's Performance On The Economy Including 41 Percent Who Strongly Disapprove. (Poll, "The AP-Gfk Poll," The Associated Press, 1007 Adults, +/- 4.5% MOE, 8/11-8/16/10)
- 65 Percent Of Voters Know Someone Personally That Has Lost Their Job. (Poll, "The AP-Gfk Poll," The Associated Press, 1007 Adults, +/- 4.5% MOE, 8/11-8/16/10)
- 61 Percent Of Voters Disapprove Of The Way That The Democrats In Congress Are Handling Their Jobs. (Poll, "The AP-Gfk Poll," The Associated Press, 1007 Adults, +/- 4.5% MOE, 8/11-8/16/10)
"WELCOME TO THE RECOVERY": 64 Percent Of Respondents Say That In The Next Year The Economy Will Stay About The Same Or Get Worse, Only 34 Percent Believe That It Will Improve. (Hart/McInturff Poll, "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey," 1000 Adults, MOE +/- 3.1%, 8/5-8/9/10)
40 Percent Of Respondents Say That The Country Is In Worse Shape Or About The Same Since Obama Took Office. (Hart/McInturff Poll, "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey," 1000 Adults, MOE +/- 3.1%, 8/5-8/9/10)
A Plurality Of Respondents, 38 Percent, "Not At All Confident" Obama Has "The Right Set Of Goals And Policies In Order To Be President." (Hart/McInturff Poll, "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey," 1000 Adults, MOE +/- 3.1%, 8/5-8/9/10)
And A Plurality, 39 Percent, Say That They Are "Not At All Confident" That President Obama Has "The Right Set Of Goals And Policies To Improve The Economy." (Hart/McInturff Poll, "NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey," 1000 Adults, MOE +/- 3.1%, 8/5-8/9/10)
Working Families Party is "Anathema to Reform"
Aug 20, 2010 - From New Yorker's for Growth:
New York, NY-Aug. 20...New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D) cannot accept the Working Families Party (WFP) line and claim to be a fiscal reformer, fiscal reform group New Yorkers for Growth today said.
The WFP, which is closely associated with the radical group ACORN, is a collection of unions and special interest organizations that oppose virtually all efforts of fiscal reform in state and local government. The WFP advocates higher state spending, dramatically higher taxes, borrowing, and more expensive union contracts, despite New York's deteriorating fiscal picture.
"Andrew Cuomo is saying a lot of the right things about fiscal reform, but if he accepts the WFP line it will be a clear indication that he is not serious about it," said New Yorkers for Growth spokesman, former Larchmont Mayor Liz Feld. "It's decision time for Mr. Cuomo:Is he going to be a reformer if we elect him, or is he going to be just another Albany politician? What he does with the WFP will tell all."
To learn more about New Yorkers for Growth, please visit www.newyorkersforgrowth.com.
August 19, 2010, From the NRCC:
It’s no surprise to voters across New York State, but once again Bill Owens, Dan Maffei and Scott Murphy are proving just how loyal they are to party leaders in Washington. Instead of taking a stand against their party, these “vulnerable Democrats” are ducking and dodging an important issue to the American people, especially New Yorkers and the families who lost loved ones on 9/11.
“A few vulnerable Democrats have chosen to stay silent on the matter, including Syracuse-area Rep. Dan Maffei, Rep. Bill Owens in northern New York and Albany-area Rep. Scott Murphy.” (Beth Fouhy, “Mosque Debate Divides Democrats, Especially in NY,” Associated Press, 8/19/2010)
If Owens, Maffei and Murphy refuse to stand up against their leadership after such an insensitive decision by the President relating to the Ground Zero mosque, will they ever put politics aside and do what’s right for their constituents? Do they agree with Speaker Pelosi that we should investigate the “attacks aimed at thwarting the project”?
August, 16, 2010 - From News Channel 34 Binghampton:
Republican candidate for New York State Comptroller, Harry Wilson says some Southern Tier residents are going to be socked with what he calls the DiNapoli tax. Wilson, who most recently served on the auto industry crisis federal task force team, was recently in Binghamton outlining his concerns.
Wilson says over the next six years the pension contributions of state and local governments will roughly triple and as a result the average New York household will see its share of pension contribution costs skyrocket by $1,300. Currently, the average is $500 and Wilson says they will increase to $1,800 per household. He says the reason is due to a secretive pension borrowing scheme to mask an under-performing pension fund, which state comptroller Tom DiNapoli is in charge of.
Wilson says the scheme would let the state borrow money from the state pension fund to make constitutionally required payments to the same fund, but with interest. Wilson also says borrowing equals not paying the state pension fund what it's owed and that while borrowing can give municipalities some immediate relief in the short-term to delay payments, he says it makes things worse in the long-run because municipalities will have to make up for what they don't pay now with interest.
"What I really want to alert New Yorkers to, what we're spending all of our time focused on, is explaining New York State is in the early stages of a massive fiscal crisis. That's really horrible news because I know New Yorkers across the state are hurting right now, but if you look at how bad the numbers are over the next two years, the state budget, our pension problems all get dramatically worse. And, that's going to result in higher taxes for a state that's already paying the highest tax burden in the country. The only way we can fix that is if we bring in new leaders who are honest with people about the size of our problems, not just hide them so they can get past another election and keep their jobs. We need people who are more interested in saving the state than their jobs. And, secondly we need people who are tough enough to be able to deal with them. There are going to be some really tough choices. There are no free lunches out there."
Wilson says if elected one of the things he would do is lower the 8 percent pension fund return assumption to a rate of 5% or 6%. He says the return rate hasn't reached 5% in the past decade. He also says making lower risk investments would be wise and the idea of having 401k's instead of pensions for new workers should at least be looked at.
A spokesman for DiNapoli says Wilson's claims are inaccurate and misleading. He says, for one, the proposed borrowing option has been in the legislature for the past year and has not been secretive. Robert Whalen also says lowering the assumption rate would boost combined contributions from employers from $3.5 billion to about $10 billion, which taxpayers would have to make up. He says Wilson's plan takes the hammer to taxpayers. Wilson responds by saying any gap shouldn't be filled with increasing taxes.
Instead the legislature would have to look at cutting spending more. Wilson says the state needs to apply private sector standards to the problem and deal with it.
August, 13, 2010 - From Queens Chronicle:
It is often said that Staten Island is the forgotten borough, but all that may change as its district attorney sets his sights on filling the state attorney general seat being vacated by Andrew Cuomo.
Dan Donovan, who is the Republican and Conservative party nominee, shared his thoughts on crime, fraud, corruption, member items and the budget in an exclusive interview with the Queens Chronicle last Thursday. “I got disgusted, frustrated, upset just like any other New Yorker,” Donovan said. “We were a joke. Somebody told me you have a better chance of leaving Albany in handcuffs than not getting reelected so that was the thing that finally pushed me to run.”
Donovan says curbing public corruption would be the centerpiece of his administration and he has a three-pronged approach laid out to address the problem.
First, he says public corruption cases need to fall within the jurisdiction of the Attorney General’s Office. It can only investigate the matters if they are referred by local DA’s, state agencies or the Governor’s Office and a lot of times these groups are reluctant to refer cases because of political ties, Donvovan explained.
Next, he says legislators should reveal their outside income. “There is no way the public could be confident that their elected leaders are representing them when they vote on a bill, if they don’t know that that person doesn’t have an outside interest in that bill,” Donovan said.
Because 98 percent of his income comes from the city, the candidate is required to declare outside monies that could be considered a conflict of interest and he believes the practice should be the same for all state legislators.
“I truly believe that most of the people in Albany want to do a good job,” Donovan said. “There are a few that have abused their position, abused their power. I always thought it was a privilege to serve in office, not a right.”
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August 10, 2010 - From State of Politics blog:
The NRCC has added NY-19 Republican hopeful Nan Hayworth to its “Young Guns” program, bringing the total number of targeted congressional races to three.
Hayworth, who is trying to defeat two-term Democratic Rep. John Hall, joins NY-24′s Richard Hanna, who is making his second attempt at ousting Democratic Rep. Mike Arcuri; and NY-29′s Tom Reed, who is running for the seat vacated by disgraced former Democratic Rep. Eric Massa.
An NRCC source said:
“This is further evidence that Republicans are positioned to do well across New York State.”
“It also demonstrates the growing momentum behind Hayworth and her commitment to lower taxes, limited government and less spending, which is a sharp contrast to John Hall’s record as a rubberstamp for the stimulus, ObamaCare and tax hikes.
The designation makes candidates eligible for fundraising and strategic support from the NRCC, which added six House candidates nationwide to its growing list as of today.
Hall won and easy re-election bid in 2008 with 59 percent of the vote. He defeated then-GOP incumbent Rep. Sue Kelly in 2006. Hayworth had $775,000 in the bank at the end of June (with the help of $500,000 she has loaned her own campaign), compared with $564,000 for Hall.
Last month, Rothenberg had NY-19 listed as a “toss-up/tilts Democrat” race, while NY-24 was “toss-up/tilts Republican” and NY-29 was “Republican favored”.
August 8, 2010 - From NRCC:
The NY Minute from today’s Syracuse Post-Standard asks, “Are Charles Rangel’s Woes a Problem for Rep. Michael Arcuri?” For Arcuri, it’s clear that Rangel’s ethical scandals have caused him serious trouble because he’s been forced to return his tainted campaign cash and he flip-flopped on whether to support his embattled colleague. However, Dan Maffei’s Rangel troubles are another story. He was a senior aide to the former Ways and Means chairman, and he’s taken more than $96,000 from his former boss, Charlie Rangel.
“From the New York Post: UTICA, NY -- More than 200 miles from Harlem, Charlie Rangel has become a household name. That's a problem for Rep. Michael Arcuri. The Oneida County Democrat, locked in one of the tightest House races in the nation, has in recent months scrambled to cut ties with the embattled Rangel. Arcuri was the first -- and so far only -- Democratic congressman from New York to urge Rangel to quit in the wake of 13 ethics charges. In March, he gave to charity $23,000 in campaign contributions from the longtime Harlem lawmaker.” (Syracuse Post-Standard, 8/9/10)
“As late as the day before the House ethics panel announced its charges, Arcuri advocated a wait-and-see approach to Rangel, saying it was up to “the ethics committee and the voters to determine his fate.” Just days later, the former district attorney took a harder line: ‘Rangel should think about stepping down because this situation is beginning to affect our ability to govern.’ An Arcuri spokeswoman refused to answer questions about Rangel.” (Brendan Scott, “Rangel Scandal Creates Problem for Upstate Democrat,” New York Post, 8/9/10)
The question isn’t whether or not this is a problem for the always-waffling Michael Arcuri. The question is how much of an impact will Rangel’s ethical troubles have on races across New York State, especially in Maffei’s district (NY-25). The New York Times considers NY-25 “in play” and labels it in one of its most competitive categories as “Leaning Democratic.”